A hurricane hunter aircraft has been investigating a tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands this afternoon.
The aircraft found evidence of a sharp surface trough but confirmed that a well-defined circulation has not formed.
Although the system is currently disorganized, at least gradual development is anticipated and a tropical depression could form later this weekend or early next week.
The wave is forecast to move quickly westward for the next day or two, crossing the Windward Islands on Sunday.
Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible over much of the Lesser Antilles over the weekend, and interests on those islands and Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of this disturbance.
Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days…medium…60 percent.